Damian Lillard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:42 PM UTC

Analysis

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has averaged 3.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric recently.
Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 35.4 minutes per game this year.
The Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while playing at home this year.
Damian Lillard will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.9 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.
The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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