Damian Lillard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has tallied 3.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent games.
Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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