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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/4/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -158.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 4.4 rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 75th percentile.
  • Damian Lillard has played 34.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • In comparison to last year's 0.1 rate, Damian Lillard's technical fouls have declined this year to 0.0 per game.
  • The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Bucks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bucks rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Spurs have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Damian Lillard will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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