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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 35.6 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season.
  • Relative to last year's 1.9 clip, Damian Lillard's personal fouls per game have fallen this year to 1.1.
  • The 7th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Bucks will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
  • This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Hornets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Damian Lillard will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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