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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has successfully made 3.5 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 36.2 minutes per game this year.
  • In regard to 3-point attempts, the 4th-most aggressive team in the league as the home team over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
  • The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should raise possessions for the Bucks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 15.2 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Kings, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive performance.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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