Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 22, 2024

Updated Nov 23, 2024 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has attempted 9.0 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 35.8 minutes per game this year.
The Bucks have been the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard places in the 94th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a massive 5.7 free throws per game when playing at home this year.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 36.0% mark, Damian Lillard's three-point effectiveness has fallen this season to 25.5%.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Pacers, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The 8th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Pacers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).

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