Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard measures in the 99th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 9.3 per game this year.
Damian Lillard has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most treys per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
The Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should boost possessions for the Bucks.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

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