Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls · Oct 25, 2024

Updated Oct 25, 2024 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has attempted 8.7 3-point shots per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.6 minutes per game since the start of last season.
In regard to shooting, the Bucks's exceptional 118.4 points per game comes in as the 3rd-best in the NBA since the start of last season.
The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Bucks.
Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard registers in the 99th percentile for foul shots made, posting a whopping 6.6 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (13.7).
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-slowest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Chicago Bulls).
The Bucks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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