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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 96th percentile, posting a colossal 24.3 points per game this year.
  • Damian Lillard has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Bucks.
  • Damian Lillard has attempted 9.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's attempted overall this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has made just 3.0 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit less than his 4.2 mark last year.
  • The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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