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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 35.4 minutes per game this year.

With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 119.7 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 3-pointers per game (highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, branding this as a favorable matchup.

The Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while playing at home this year.

Damian Lillard has made 6.5 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's shot attempts from downtown have dropped this season to 8.6 per game.

Damian Lillard has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.9 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.

The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

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