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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has sunk 48.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 5.8% higher than he's made in all games this season playing at home.

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 3.5 threes per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Nets, labeling this as a strong matchup.

The 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 8.6 3-pointers per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 11.3 mark last year.

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 7.1 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 9.6 mark last season.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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