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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has averaged 34.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Los Angeles Lakers are at home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 24th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6).

The 5th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 32.2 clip, Damian Lillard's points per game have regressed this year to 24.5.

Damian Lillard has attempted a lowly 8.5 treys per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 11.3 mark last season.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the league away from home with just 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 7.3 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 9.6 rate last season.

Damian Lillard will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance for all stats.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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