Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have snagged 8.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 32.2 rate, Damian Lillard's points per game have tailed off this year to 24.4.
In contrast to last season's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's shot attempts from beyond the arc have regressed this season to 8.5 per game.
Damian Lillard has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled 13.7 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive production.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.

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