Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 8:35 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard measures in the 96th percentile, tallying an enormous 24.6 points per game this year.
Damian Lillard has failed to make 5.6 3-point attempts per game this season, quite a bit less than his 7.1 mark last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard places in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Bucks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 11.3 shot attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Hornets, designating this as a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have come down with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
In comparison to last season's 9.6 mark, Damian Lillard's number of free throw attempts has dropped this season to 7.5 free throw attempts per game.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Hornets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.