My Account Log Out
 
 
Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 34.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.
  • The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.2 foul shots per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In contrast to last year's 4.2 mark, Damian Lillard's threes scored have decreased this year to 3.0 per game.
  • The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (20.5%).
  • The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™