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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has attempted 19.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Relative to last season's 7.1 rate, Damian Lillard's unsuccessful threes have been reduced this season to 5.6 per game.

Damian Lillard has averaged 35.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 41.4% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, designating this as a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 8.0 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 9.6 rate last year.

The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).

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