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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2024

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-150/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

When it comes to shooting, the Bucks's impressive 124.4 points per game while playing on the road settles in as the strongest in the league this year.

The most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Houston Rockets have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have come down with 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has notched just 25.4 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 32.2 points per game last year.

Compared to last year's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's shot attempts from beyond the arc have fallen this year to 8.6 per game.

The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one; when the Rockets are on their home court, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the league when playing on the road with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Damian Lillard has attempted a lowly 8.0 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 9.6 rate last season.

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