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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 34.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

As it relates to offense, the Bucks's remarkable 126.7 points per game ranks strongest in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).

The matchup against Indiana may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers are on their home court (24th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has averaged a lowly 25.5 points per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 32.2 points per game last season.

Damian Lillard has attempted a lowly 8.7 3-pointers per game this year, significantly lower than his 11.3 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a tough one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).

The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 13.6 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (preserving possessions that can generate added chances for offense).

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