Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 1:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has logged 26.2 points per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category.
Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard ranks in the 98th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 8.6 per game this year.
Damian Lillard has played 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 48.4% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
In contrast to last year's 9.6 mark, Damian Lillard's number of free throw attempts has declined this year to 8.5 free throw attempts per game.

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