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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard comes in at the 98th percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 8.7 per game this year.

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Damian Lillard has successfully made 7.6 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 41.9% on field goal attempts (11th-weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, resulting in a tough matchup.

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (retaining possessions that can spark added chances for offense).

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.2 foul shots per game this year (11th-least in the league).

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