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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

Compared to last season's 0.1 rate, Damian Lillard's technical fouls have decreased this season to 0.0 per game.

With respect to shooting, the Bucks's impressive 120.5 points per game when playing away from home settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 2.8 3-pointers per game (27th-most in the league) vs. the Hawks, branding this as a good matchup.

The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 32.2 mark, Damian Lillard's points per game have regressed this season to 25.5.

Damian Lillard has attempted a lowly 8.6 threes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 11.3 rate last season.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 9.2 offensive boards per game this year.

While playing on the road, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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