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Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-108).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -108.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.9 minutes per game on the road this year.Relative to last season's 0.1 rate, Damian Lillard's technical fouls have declined this season to 0.0 per game.In regard to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 123.1 points per game when playing at home rates 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra opportunities for offense).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Damian Lillard has attempted just 17.3 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 20.7 rate last year.In contrast to last year's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's 3-point attempts have diminished this year to 8.8 per game.This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have registered 13.2 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).The Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
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