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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.9 minutes per game on the road this year.
  • Relative to last season's 0.1 rate, Damian Lillard's technical fouls have declined this season to 0.0 per game.
  • In regard to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 123.1 points per game when playing at home rates 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.
  • The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has attempted just 17.3 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 20.7 rate last year.
  • In contrast to last year's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's 3-point attempts have diminished this year to 8.8 per game.
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have registered 13.2 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
  • The Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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