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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 17th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
  • In terms of offense, the Bucks's excellent 118.1 points per game as the away team measures as the 6th-most in the NBA this year.
  • The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has logged a measly 24.6 points per game this year, significantly lower than his 32.2 points per game last year.
  • Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 8.7 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit less than his 11.3 mark last season.
  • The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a hard one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs since the start of last season (15.6).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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