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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 11/13/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard comes in at the 98th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 9.2 per game this year.
  • Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
  • Damian Lillard has committed 1.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the Bulls is a hard one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (11.9).
  • The Bulls have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league while at home with only 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (lengthening possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).

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