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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard rates in the 100th percentile, compiling a massive 31.4 points per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 100th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc away from his home court, averaging 11.1 per game since the start of last season.

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.

As it relates to scoring, the Bucks's stellar 116.9 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 6th-strongest in the league since the start of last season.

The Bucks are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard registers in the 95th percentile for technical fouls, logging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season.

The matchup vs. the Nets is a challenging one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 12th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (41.5%).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has snagged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (lengthening possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

Damian Lillard is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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