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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2023

Washington Wizards vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 42.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
  • Damian Lillard has attempted 11.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a big improvement over his 9.8 rate last season.
  • Damian Lillard has played 35.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • The Wizards have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Trail Blazers.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This matchup is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have posted the 10th-lowest three percentage in the league over the last 20 games while playing at home (36.2%).
  • The matchup vs. the Wizards is a hard one for field goals; the other team's starting SGs have posted the 7th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (43.0%).
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year.
  • Damian Lillard will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces player production across the board.

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