Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · May 2, 2024

Updated May 2, 2024 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-162/+136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year with respect to 3-pointers.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's shot attempts from beyond the arc have fallen this season to 8.7 per game.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, making this a challenging matchup.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 10th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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