Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 11:43 PM UTC

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.
The Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The 4th-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 8.5 3-pointers per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 11.3 rate last season.
Damian Lillard has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.4 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Hornets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 12th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (27.9%).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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