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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard rates in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 8.5 per game this year.

Damian Lillard has averaged 34.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.

The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.

This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. Miami is a tough one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 7th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA over the last 25 games when the Miami Heat are away from home (2.0).

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).

The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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