Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-129/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has converted 45.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 10.2% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court over the last 25 games has been the Bucks.
The matchup against Charlotte is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Charlotte Hornets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 27th-highest three rate in the league this year (44.4%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Hornets have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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