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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-162).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +138 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +126.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.0 minutes per game while on the road this year.

In terms of three-pointers, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 37.6% rate of converted threes ranks 6th-highest in the NBA this year.

The quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's three-point attempts have been reduced this year to 8.6 per game.

The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 12th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).

The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games when they are away from home, the other team has grabbed 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).

Damian Lillard stands to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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