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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/29/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

In contrast to last year's 0.1 clip, Damian Lillard's technical fouls have regressed this year to 0.0 per game.

With respect to three-point attempts, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on 3-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making this a good matchup.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 8.8 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 11.3 rate last season.

The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA as the away team with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

While at home, the Cavaliers have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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