Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
Damian Lillard has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (24th percentile).
The Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.2).
The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 11.3 mark, Damian Lillard's three-point attempts have been reduced this season to 8.7 per game.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks.
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Damian Lillard will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player performance across the board.

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