Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards · Feb 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has attempted 11.0 3-pointers per game this year, significantly more than his 9.8 rate last year.
Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
Damian Lillard has averaged a mere 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, significantly less than his 0.2 technicals per game last season.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should lead to increased plays for the Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Monte Morris is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; when Morris is on the road and defending opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted a measly 4.7 three-point shots per game (7th percentile).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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