Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has totaled 7.0 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 98th percentile.
Damian Lillard has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Bucks.
Damian Lillard will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.4 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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