Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs New York Knicks · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has tallied 7.3 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 98th percentile.
Damian Lillard has tallied 35.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Damian Lillard will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

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