Corey Kispert Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Corey Kispert

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Corey Kispert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Corey Kispert has successfully made 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season on the road.
Corey Kispert has averaged 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.6 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
With respect to offense, the Wizards's stellar 113.6 points per game comes in as the 10th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Favors Under

Corey Kispert has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 1.3 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a tough matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Corey Kispert has converted a lowly 70.3% of his free throws this season, quite a bit less than his 83.1 rate last season.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, struggling to get to the charity stripe.