Collin Sexton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 11:17 PM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to additional chances for offense).
Collin Sexton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the slowest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Miami Heat).

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