Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 30, 2025

Updated Jan 31, 2025 4:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has logged 22.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's logged overall this year.
Collin Sexton has played 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.6).
The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Collin Sexton has attempted 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has attempted and missed 3.6 three-point attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's missed from beyond the arc overall this season.
As it relates to shooting, the Jazz's feeble 108.6 points per game with the home court advantage places 4th-lowest in the league this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team.
The Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves).
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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