Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

LA Clippers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 2:00 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has successfully made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
The Utah Jazz have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Collin Sexton has converted 4.0 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for overall this season.
The Jazz check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the LA Clippers is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 5th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.6).
The Clippers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Jazz.
Collin Sexton should experience a decrease in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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