Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+112/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Collin Sexton places in the 86th percentile, logging a massive 18.6 points per game since the start of last season.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a positive matchup.
The 7th-quickest tempo team in the league since the start of last season has been the Jazz.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Collin Sexton comes in at the 93rd percentile for free throws made, totaling a whopping 4.1 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Jazz's poor 35.2% rate of successful threes measures as the 9th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).
Collin Sexton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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