Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has converted 9.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's made in all games this season.
Collin Sexton has sunk 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
Collin Sexton has played 32.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 more than he's played in all games this year.
The 8th-quickest tempo away offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Jazz.
The Jazz will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

In terms of three-pointers, the Utah Jazz's lackluster 33.9% rate of sunk threes away from their home court settles in as the 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 15 games.
Collin Sexton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production across the board.

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