Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Utah Jazz · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has logged 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's logged overall this year.
Collin Sexton has made 46.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 11.5% higher than he's made from three overall this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 13.6 shot attempts per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, resulting in a strong matchup.
The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz will likely see a spike in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).
In regard to treys, the Utah Jazz's subpar 34.9% rate of successful threes while playing away from home measures as the 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year, their opposition has snagged 11.2 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Hawks (saving possessions that can generate further chances for offense).
Collin Sexton will likely experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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