Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 2:13 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has scored 23.2 points per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 4.2 more than he's scored overall this year at home.
Collin Sexton has made 55.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 19.1% higher than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The matchup against the Lakers is a hard one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 10th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.7).
The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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