Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 2:38 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has posted 20.9 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.8 more than he's posted over the course of the year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to boost possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Jazz's poor 46.5% field goal percentage rates 9th-weakest in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 4.3 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Raptors, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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