Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has notched 18.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's notched overall this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 17.7 points per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The 4th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise opportunities for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Jazz have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
Collin Sexton should suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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