Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Utah Jazz have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 15thbest in in the league while at home with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.
With the home court advantage, the Grizzlies have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (7.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 49.5% mark, Collin Sexton's scoring proficiency has decreased this season to 41.9%.
Collin Sexton has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season on the road.
As it relates to shooting, the Jazz's poor 107.9 points per game comes in as the 7th-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing squads have totaled 15.1 threes per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).

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