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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Collin Sexton has totaled 13.6 points per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for shots from the field; opposing teams have put up the 10th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA since the start of last season (46.3%).

The Jazz have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 12thbest in in the NBA while at home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Collin Sexton has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Jazz have been poor at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season, drawing a lowly 20.9 free throws per game.

This matchup is a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home, the other team has attempted a massive 25.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season (6th-most in the league).

Collin Sexton will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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