Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 23, 2023 10:17 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a hard one for field goals; when the Thunder are the visiting team, opposing clubs have shot for the 7th-lowest FG% in the NBA against them this year (45.5%).
The Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one; they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (121.2).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a monstrous 23.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

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