Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Christian Braun has successfully made 57.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 9.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Christian Braun ought to see a spike in production for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The matchup against Toronto is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Raptors are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.3).
Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun measures in the 20th percentile for free-throw performance with an unimpressive 67.6% rate since the start of last season.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Nuggets's poor 20.0 free throw attempts per game places 2nd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA).

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